July 4, 2024

Craig Breslow on Red Sox job: 'I know what it takes to win here'

Red Sox draft budget usage shows why one area of organization is massively lacking

The Boston Red Sox farm system has racked up some high ranks this offseason. But WEEI radio personality and Red Sox die-hard Tony Massarotti disagrees with some of the numbers. He went as far as to say the Sox prospect pool is “overrated.”

The Red Sox’s biggest need year after year is quality starting pitching. Yet, Boston’s farm system produces next to no starting pitchers, or even relievers of note.

Massarotti noticed this, and others have noticed, too. Zack Scott, a former Red Sox front office executive, noted that Boston’s farm system ranks 29th — yes, next-to-last — in pitching prospects.

Craig Breslow on Red Sox job: 'I know what it takes to win here'

Ian Cundall of Sox Prospects researched why the Red Sox don’t produce homegrown, quality starting pitching candidates compared to other teams. The answer is simple: they don’t draft pitchers in the early rounds. But this hasn’t always been the case.

Red Sox farm lacks pitching talent because they don’t draft pitchers in early rounds

The last pitcher the Red Sox drafted in the first round was Tanner Houck in 2017. Ever since, Boston’s drafting model has heavily favored hitters in the early rounds and pitchers as later picks.

Craig Breslow on Red Sox job: 'I know what it takes to win here'

The Red Sox draft depth pitchers and have usually relied on trades or free-agent singings to add strengthen to the rotation. Now, Boston doesn’t seem to want to do either because Jordan Montgomery and Blake Snell are still sitting on the market. Regardless of the signings that haven’t been made, drafting pitchers in earlier rounds could have alleviated some of the stress on the starting rotation this year (or any year, really).

Cundall’s research concluded that the Red Sox have spent by far the least amount of money in MLB on drafting pitchers since 2018. Boston has given just 19% of its draft bonus money to pitchers in the last five seasons. The

Craig Breslow on Red Sox job: 'I know what it takes to win here'

Atlanta Braves, on the other hand, have devoted nearly 60% of its bonus money to pitchers since 2018. It shows in the product they put on the field — young pitchers like Spencer Strider, Bryce Elder and AJ Smith-Shawver will carry Atlanta’s rotation this coming year.

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