September 19, 2024

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Ranking the 5 best trade targets for the Cardinals to pursue at the deadline

The Cardinals should be active at this year’s MLB trade deadline.

The St. Louis Cardinals have bounced back nicely following their brutal start to the season and ended the first half with a 50-46 record. They’re in sole possession of the second Wild Card spot in the NL and trail the Brewers by only 4.5 games in the NL Central. The postseason is within reach, and a division title could be too.

The Cardinals have shown John Mozeliak that they’re a team worth investing in. They’re not a perfect baseball team, but they don’t have to be to squeak into the postseason, particularly in the National League.

Ranking the 5 best trade targets for the Cardinals to pursue at the deadline

Mozeliak should be able to identify several areas where this team can improve and with the right deals, they can really make some noise in October. With that in mind, Mozeliak should be trying to acquire these five players in particular.

5) Kevin Pillar would be an underrated acquisition for the Cardinals to make

The Cardinals’ offense has come a long way since its unacceptable start to this season, but it still struggles in one major way. The Cardinals still can’t hit left-handed pitching. Their 78 WRC+ against southpaws is good for 29th in the majors, only ahead of the 33-63 Marlins. That’s right, the White Sox hit better against lefties than the Cardinals do.

Part of their struggles have to do with injuries to players who should hit lefties like Willson Contreras and Tommy Edman, but it also partially has to do with their outfielders not hitting against southpaws. Lars Nootbaar has an .810 OPS against righties, but a .505 OPS against lefties. Michael Siani’s is at .621 against righties and .454 against lefties. Even Brendan Donovan’s OPS against lefties is nearly 100 points lower than his mark against righties.

Ranking the 5 best trade targets for the Cardinals to pursue at the deadline

Dylan Carlson was supposed to be a factor against lefties but he has struggled mightily. Acquiring an outfielder who can hit against lefties and also chip in as a center fielder should be something that Mozeliak pursues, and Kevin Pillar fits that to a tee.

Is he a big name? Of course not, but the Cardinals don’t exactly need an offensive star. Pillar has always done well against lefties in his career, though, and this season has been no exception with his 1.031 OPS against southpaws in 69 plate appearances. Carlson on the other hand has a .577 OPS against lefties in 72 plate appearances.

This kind of upgrade can help more than some might realize, even if it isn’t a flashy one. The Los Angeles Angels will almost certainly be trading him, and the Cardinals should be the team that acquires him.

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4) Zach Eflin would be an upgrade for the Cardinals’ rotation

Compared to early-season expectations, the Cardinals rotation has fared better than most expected. Still, their 4.44 starting pitcher ERA ranks 21st in the majors at the All-Star break. Only two of the nine teams below them are in a postseason spot. That’s going to need improvement.

Sonny Gray is the solidified ace, Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson are fine mid-rotation arms, but this staff is really lacking a No. 2 starter. While Zach Eflin might profile more as a No. 3, he’d still be a nice fit on this Cardinals team.

Eflin hasn’t been quite as good this season as he was in his first season with the Tampa Bay Rays, but he has a 3.99 ERA in 17 starts and 99.1 innings of work. He isn’t a big strikeout pitcher, but he does a great job limiting walks, as evidenced by his league-leading 0.8 BB/9. His 3.66 FIP indicates that he has pitched into some bad luck too.

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What makes Eflin even more appealing is that he has an extra year of club control at $18 million. It isn’t cheap, but it is reasonable. The Rays being a .500 team doesn’t exactly scream sell, but they have a ton of pitching depth and have already traded Aaron Civale. Eflin is likely available for the right price, and he’d be a good get.

3) Tanner Scott is too good of a reliever to ignore

A right-handed hitting outfielder and a starting pitcher are two glaring needs on this Cardinals team. The bullpen isn’t as big of one, but all contending teams try and improve that area if they can. Assuming they do, the Cardinals should be contacting the Miami Marlins who roster one of, if not the best reliever available at this year’s deadline, Tanner Scott.

Scott has followed up his breakout 2023 campaign with another impressive year, posting a 1.34 ERA in 39 appearances and 40.1 innings of work. He has converted 14 of his 16 save opportunities, and has held the opposition to a .134 average.

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Yes, walks are a concern, but Scott does an incredible job limiting hard contact to the point where the walks rarely ever come back to bite him. Can you imagine how insane this bullpen would look with Ryan Helsley closing, Tanner Scott pitching the eighth inning, and guys like Andrew Kittredge and JoJo Romero getting the sixth and seventh? Even Oli Marmol can’t mess that up, right?

Yes, he’s an expiring contract. Yes, bullpen isn’t the biggest need. Yes, he’d cost a lot. Still, the Cardinals should see if this can get done. Their bullpen can rival that of the Brewers if not surpass it with a deal like this.

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